Quant · Systematic strategy

Leveraged-ETF regime strategy

Summr Capital Management · in development

A systematic strategy that shifts exposure across leveraged ETFs based on a hidden-Markov regime signal. The premise: leveraged products are punishing in choppy, mean-reverting regimes and generous in trending ones — so the entire edge lives in knowing which regime you're standing in, not in the entry rule.

Max drawdown
< 10%
Annualised
10%+
Sharpe
0.3
Status
Forward optimisation
Labelled honestly These are backtest figures, not live results. The strategy is in forward optimisation targeting 1.0+ Sharpe and ~15% CAGR before any capital is committed. A 0.3 Sharpe is not a deployable strategy and I'm not going to pretend otherwise.
Python · hmmlearn · pandas · vectorised backtesting